OO 5529 · DEN → CRQ

departs 7:34 PM MT · arrives 1:11 AM -03

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at CRQ more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±1 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CRQ?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Arrivals into CRQ at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CRQ (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5529 · DEN → CRQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to CRQ?