OO 5540 · SHV → IAH

departs 9:12 AM CT · arrives 10:27 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Visibility down to 2 mi forecast at SHV that day

Weather at each end

SHV (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility2 mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5540 · SHV → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?