OO 5707 · SAT → ORD

departs 1:13 PM CT · arrives 4:10 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at SAT that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.13 in

ORD (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5707 · SAT → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?