Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5834
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
OO 5834 · SDF → ORD
departs 1:47 PM ET · arrives 2:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 20%
Sat 10/31 46%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave SDF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SDF
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SDF (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.