Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5852
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
OO 5852 · ORD → FNT
departs 4:05 PM CT · arrives 6:20 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 28%
Sat 10/31 53%
Sun 11/1 30%
Mon 11/2 28%
Tue 11/3 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at FNT more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FNT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at FNT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FNT?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
4pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Arrivals into FNT at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FNT (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.