OO 5917 · ORD → ROA

took off 12:22 PM CT · landed 2:43 PM ET (scheduled 10:23 AM CT → 1:14 PM ET)

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at ROA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ROA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at ROA that day

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ROA (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5917 · ORD → ROA

Odds over time

How late did it get to ROA?