OO 5920 · MBS → ORD

departs 1:23 PM ET · arrives 1:42 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ MBS usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MBS

Weather at each end

MBS (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5920 · MBS → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?