OO 5975 · ORD → LGA

departs 7:57 PM CT · arrives 11:27 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at LGA that day

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility0.8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5975 · ORD → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?