OO 6012 · SFO → MRY

took off 11:38 PM PT · landed 12:00 AM PT (scheduled 10:48 PM PT → 11:47 PM PT)

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at MRY more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late did it get to MRY?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ MRY usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MRY (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6012 · SFO → MRY

Odds over time

How late did it get to MRY?