Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6040
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
OO 6040 · DSM → ORD
departs 1:32 PM CT · arrives 3:09 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 27%
Sat 10/31 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave DSM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DSM
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DSM (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.