Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6056
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
OO 6056 · ABI → IAH
departs 5:13 PM CT · arrives 6:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 7%
Wed 10/28 10%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 16%
Sat 10/31 8%
Sun 11/1 12%
Mon 11/2 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave ABI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ABI that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↓
ABI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ABI (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.30 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.