Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6201
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
OO 6201 · AZO → ORD
departs 6:00 AM ET · arrives 6:06 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 5%
Wed 10/28 6%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 10%
Sat 10/31 14%
Sun 11/1 12%
Mon 11/2 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave AZO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
AZO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
AZO (origin)
Gusts 20 kt
Ceiling 2,300 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.03 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 2,800 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.