OO 6230 · DSM → LAX

departs 7:24 PM CT · arrives 9:19 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±3 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ DSM usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DSM (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6230 · DSM → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?