OO 6259 · DFW → SAF

departs 4:06 PM CT · arrives 5:00 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±1 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAF?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAF

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

SAF (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6259 · DFW → SAF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAF?