Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Thursday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6272 SCHEDULED

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

OO 6272 · DFW → SBN

departs 2:10 PM CT · arrives 5:43 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at SBN more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±2 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SBN?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ SBN usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

SBN (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6272 · DFW → SBN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SBN?