Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6281
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
OO 6281 · DFW → AUS
departs 12:22 PM CT · arrives 1:38 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 26%
Mon 11/2 32%
Tue 11/3 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±2 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at AUS that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 7.66667 mi Precip 0.02 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.