OO 6304 · ORD → BTV

departs 8:39 PM CT · arrives 11:53 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at BTV more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±1 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BTV?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ BTV usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BTV (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6304 · ORD → BTV

Odds over time

How late will it get to BTV?