OO 6319 · DFW → FSM

departs 6:08 PM CT · arrives 7:25 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at FSM more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±1 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FSM?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ FSM usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FSM (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6319 · DFW → FSM

Odds over time

How late will it get to FSM?