OO 6319 · FSM → DFW

departs 7:49 PM CT · arrives 9:04 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FSM

Weather at each end

FSM (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling11,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6319 · FSM → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?