OO 6484 · OKC → ORD

departs 7:14 PM CT · arrives 9:28 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±4 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ OKC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

OKC (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6484 · OKC → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?