Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PHILIPPINE AIRLINES · FLIGHT PR 101
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
PR 101 · HNL → MNL
departs 1:20 PM HT · arrives 6:46 PM PST
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Sat 10/31 21%
Sun 11/1 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at MNL more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±4 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at MNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MNL?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at HNL that day
↑
HNL is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MNL
↓
MNL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.08 in
MNL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.