Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 6117
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
PT 6117 · PHL → BUF
departs 9:58 PM ET · arrives 11:20 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 28%
Sat 10/31 26%
Sun 11/1 23%
Mon 11/2 17%
Tue 11/3 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at BUF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BUF?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at BUF that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
↓
BUF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
BUF (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 4,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.