Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
QANTAS · FLIGHT QF 7550
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
QF 7550 · DFW → HNL
departs 9:30 AM CT · arrives 12:39 PM HT
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
HNL is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at HNL that day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HNL (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.