Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

QANTAS · FLIGHT QF 8 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

QF 8 · DFW → SYD

departs 10:26 PM CT · arrives 6:37 AM AEDT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 49h before departure

Arrive at SYD more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±6 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SYD?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SYD

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SYD (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QF 8 · DFW → SYD

Odds over time

How late will it get to SYD?