QK 545 · BOS → YTZ

departs 7:45 PM ET · arrives 9:39 PM EDT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at YTZ more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YTZ?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YTZ

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ YTZ usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YTZ (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QK 545 · BOS → YTZ

Odds over time

How late will it get to YTZ?