Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA JAZZ · FLIGHT QK 625 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

QK 625 · YUL → BNA

departs 7:05 PM EDT · arrives 8:52 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 46h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ QK's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

YUL (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QK 625 · YUL → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?