QK 671 · YUL → RDU

departs 6:06 PM EDT · arrives 8:20 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into RDU at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from YUL are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at RDU that day

↓ YUL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

YUL (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

RDU (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QK 671 · YUL → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?