Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

QATAR AIRWAYS · FLIGHT QR 714 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

QR 714 · IAH → DOH

departs 6:28 PM CT · arrives 6:22 PM +03

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 48h before departure

Arrive at DOH more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±3 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DOH?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DOH

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

DOH (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QR 714 · IAH → DOH

Odds over time

How late will it get to DOH?