Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

QATAR AIRWAYS · FLIGHT QR 726 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

QR 726 · ORD → DOH

departs 7:38 PM CT · arrives 4:17 PM +03

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 49h before departure

Arrive at DOH more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±3 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DOH?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DOH

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DOH (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QR 726 · ORD → DOH

Odds over time

How late will it get to DOH?