Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2028
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
QX 2028 · BET → ANC
departs 9:40 AM AKT · arrives 11:14 AM AKT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 10/28 16%
Thu 10/29
Sat 10/31 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±2 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave BET more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at ANC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ANC?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt, cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi forecast at BET that day
↑
Gusts to 33 kt, cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at ANC that day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Arrivals into ANC at that hour are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
BET (origin)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.7 mi Precip 0.05 in
ANC (destination)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.