Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2030
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
QX 2030 · ANC → AKN
departs 12:35 PM AKT · arrives 1:57 PM AKT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 20%
Sat 10/31 23%
Sun 11/1 20%
Mon 11/2 28%
Tue 11/3 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at AKN more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±5 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AKN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave ANC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at AKN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to AKN?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 35 kt, cloud base down to 0 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at AKN that day
↑
Gusts to 37 kt, cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at ANC that day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
AKN usually runs smoothly
↓
12pm departures from ANC are usually not late
Weather at each end
ANC (origin)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.04 in
AKN (destination)
Gusts 35 kt Ceiling 0 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.