Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2064
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
QX 2064 · MFR → PDX
departs 8:13 AM PT · arrives 9:29 AM PT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Wed 10/28 18%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 24%
Sat 10/31 23%
Sun 11/1 19%
Mon 11/2 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave MFR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at PDX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 0.6 mi forecast at MFR that day
↑
This route's recent record
↑
8am departures from MFR are often late
↓
PDX usually runs smoothly
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
MFR (origin)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 1,900 ft Visibility 0.6 mi Precip none
PDX (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.