Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2130
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
QX 2130 · ANC → OTZ
departs 4:06 PM AKT · arrives 6:00 PM AKDT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Thu 10/29
Sat 10/31 26%
Sun 11/1 25%
Mon 11/2 30%
Tue 11/3 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at OTZ more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±6 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OTZ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave ANC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at OTZ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to OTZ?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 33 kt, cloud base down to 367 ft, visibility down to 0.1 mi forecast at OTZ that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
OTZ usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into OTZ at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
ANC (origin)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.04 in
OTZ (destination)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 367 ft Visibility 0.1 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.