Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2137
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
QX 2137 · BOI → GEG
departs 8:46 PM MT · arrives 9:11 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 12%
Sun 11/1 17%
Mon 11/2 16%
Tue 11/3 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave BOI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at GEG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GEG?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from BOI are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOI
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at GEG
Weather at each end
BOI (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
GEG (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.