Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2163
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
QX 2163 · GEG → LAX
departs 6:56 AM PT · arrives 10:00 AM PT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Wed 10/28 11%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 14%
Sat 10/31 18%
Sun 11/1 17%
Mon 11/2 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave GEG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at GEG that day
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
GEG (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.02 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.