Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2164
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
QX 2164 · GEG → LAX
departs 2:44 PM PT · arrives 5:47 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 17%
Sat 10/31 19%
Sun 11/1 20%
Mon 11/2 22%
Tue 11/3 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave GEG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Other factors
↓
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at GEG that day
Weather at each end
GEG (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.02 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.