Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2192
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
QX 2192 · PDX → ANC
departs 9:27 PM PT · arrives 12:25 AM AKT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 20%
Sat 10/31 20%
Sun 11/1 23%
Mon 11/2 20%
Tue 11/3 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±4 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at ANC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ANC?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 37 kt, cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at ANC that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX
↓
PDX usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PDX (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.01 in
ANC (destination)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.