Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2444
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
QX 2444 · GTF → SEA
departs 5:07 PM MT · arrives 5:58 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 24%
Sat 10/31 19%
Sun 11/1 21%
Mon 11/2 27%
Tue 11/3 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave GTF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
QX's recent on-time record
↑
This route's recent record
↓
GTF usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
Weather at each end
GTF (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.