Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2448
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
QX 2448 · SEA → PSC
departs 10:50 PM PT · arrives 11:59 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Thu 10/29
Sat 10/31 26%
Sun 11/1 31%
Mon 11/2 28%
Tue 11/3 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at PSC more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.1d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PSC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at PSC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PSC?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from SEA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PSC
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
PSC (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.