RV 1679 · MCO → YYZ

departs 8:51 PM ET · arrives 11:43 PM EDT

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YYZ?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ YYZ usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into YYZ at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YYZ (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

RV 1679 · MCO → YYZ

Odds over time

How late will it get to YYZ?