Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA ROUGE · FLIGHT RV 1739 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

RV 1739 · YYZ → AUS

departs 8:15 AM EDT · arrives 11:08 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 8am departures from YYZ are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at YYZ

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

YYZ (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

RV 1739 · YYZ → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?