Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3018 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

SY 3018 · BNA → TOL

departs 10:45 PM CT · arrives 12:51 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 48h before departure

Arrive at TOL more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±3 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TOL?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Arrivals into TOL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TOL (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3018 · BNA → TOL

Odds over time

How late will it get to TOL?