Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3077 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

SY 3077 · SBD → AUS

departs 9:04 PM PT · arrives 1:37 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 46h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±3 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SBD

↓ SY's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

SBD (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3077 · SBD → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?