Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 8185 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

SY 8185 · CAK → ACY

departs 12:48 PM ET · arrives 2:28 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 39h before departure

Arrive at ACY more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ACY?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into ACY at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ACY

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CAK

Weather at each end

CAK (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ACY (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 8185 · CAK → ACY

Odds over time

How late will it get to ACY?