Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AVIANCA EL SALVADOR · FLIGHT TA 442 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

TA 442 · SAL → DFW

departs 12:37 PM CST · arrives 5:31 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 43h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

SAL (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

TA 442 · SAL → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?