Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AVIANCA EL SALVADOR · FLIGHT TA 529 IN THE AIR (OFF 12:46 AM PT, ETA 6:28 AM CST) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Thursday, October 29 Today

TA 529 · LAX → SAL

took off 12:46 AM PT · expected to land 6:28 AM CST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SAL more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAL (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

TA 529 · LAX → SAL

Odds over time