Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AVIANCA EL SALVADOR · FLIGHT TA 530 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

TA 530 · SAL → ONT

departs 5:38 PM CST · arrives 9:54 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 48h before departure

Arrive at ONT more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ONT?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into ONT at that hour are often late

Weather at each end

SAL (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

ONT (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

TA 530 · SAL → ONT

Odds over time

How late will it get to ONT?