Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AVIANCA EL SALVADOR · FLIGHT TA 567 IN THE AIR (OFF 3:02 AM ET, ETA 5:23 AM CST) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Thursday, October 29 Today

TA 567 · JFK → SAL

took off 3:02 AM ET · expected to land 5:23 AM CST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at SAL more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↑ TA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAL (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

TA 567 · JFK → SAL

Odds over time