Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1032 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Yesterday

UA 1032 · EWR → AUS

departs 6:52 PM ET · arrives 9:36 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from EWR are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at AUS that day

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1032 · EWR → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?