UA 1093 · ORD → LAS

departs 6:02 PM CT · arrives 7:59 PM PT

Your aircraft is N17557 (B39M), coming in as UA 1748 from PHX: landed 4:24 PM CT.

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −27 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1093 · ORD → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?